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Premier League · Regular Season - 8 · England

Sunderland v Leeds

· Stadium of Light, Sunderland

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sunderland v Leeds: the model read

Sunderland meet Leeds in the Premier League regular season - 8 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Leeds on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Sunderland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ Manchester City, W 1-0 v AZ Alkmaar, L 0-2 v Arsenal, W 1-0 v Hull City.

Leeds are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Crystal Palace, W 4-1 v Newcastle, L 3-6 @ Chelsea, D 1-1 @ Brighton.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sunderland

DWLWL10-3-7

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAManchester City3-5
  • WHAZ Alkmaar1-0
  • LHArsenal0-2
  • WHHull City1-0
  • DABrentford1-1

Leeds

DDLWD10-6-4

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • DHCrystal Palace0-0
  • WHNewcastle4-1
  • LAChelsea3-6
  • DABrighton1-1
  • DHBrentford1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

SunderlandrecordLeeds
3
3
4 draws

Goals

8-9

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Sunderland

Recent
LWDLDD
Wins 3Goals 8-9

Biggest win 1-0

Leeds

Recent
WLDWDD
Wins 3Goals 9-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Sunderland0-1Leeds
  • Leeds0-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland1-1Leeds
  • Leeds2-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland2-2Leeds
  • Leeds0-0Sunderland
  • Sunderland1-0Leeds
  • Leeds1-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland0-2Leeds
  • Sunderland1-0Leeds

Managers

R. Le Bris

France · 50

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Lorient2022–2024
  • Lorient II2015–2022

D. Farke

Germany · 49

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Borussia M'gladbach2022–2023
  • Krasnodar2022–2022
  • Norwich City2017–2021
  • Borussia Dortmund II2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.