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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 · England

Leeds v Manchester United

· Elland Road, Leeds

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Leeds v Manchester United: the model read

Leeds meet Manchester United in the Premier League regular season - 7 at Elland Road, Leeds.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 57%. Attacking output favors Manchester United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Leeds arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Crystal Palace, W 4-1 v Newcastle, L 3-6 @ Chelsea, D 1-1 @ Brighton.

Manchester United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fulham, L 2-3 v Brighton, L 0-1 v Manchester City, W 4-0 v Sabah FA.

Manchester United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manchester United 1-1 Leeds.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Leeds

DDLWD10-6-4

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • DHCrystal Palace0-0
  • WHNewcastle4-1
  • LAChelsea3-6
  • DABrighton1-1
  • DHBrentford1-1

Manchester United

DWLLD9-5-6

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DAFulham1-1
  • LHBrighton2-3
  • LHManchester City0-1
  • WHSabah FA4-0
  • DAEverton2-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LeedsrecordManchester United
1
4
5 draws

Goals

9-18

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Leeds

Recent
DWDDLL
Wins 1Goals 9-18

Biggest win 2-1

Manchester United

Recent
DLDDWW
Wins 4Goals 18-9

Biggest win 5-1

  • Manchester United1-1Leeds
  • Manchester United1-2Leeds
  • Leeds1-1Manchester United
  • Manchester United0-0Leeds
  • Manchester United2-0Leeds
  • Leeds0-2Manchester United
  • Manchester United2-2Leeds
  • Leeds2-4Manchester United
  • Manchester United5-1Leeds
  • Leeds0-0Manchester United

Managers

D. Farke

Germany · 49

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Borussia M'gladbach2022–2023
  • Krasnodar2022–2022
  • Norwich City2017–2021
  • Borussia Dortmund II2015–2017

Michael Carrick

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.