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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 · England

Sunderland v Brighton

· Stadium of Light, Sunderland

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sunderland v Brighton: the model read

Sunderland meet Brighton in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brighton, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Brighton on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Sunderland arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Fulham, L 1-2 @ Ipswich, W 2-1 v Rennes, W 2-0 @ Lens.

Brighton are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Chelsea, W 4-0 v Tromso, W 4-0 v Aston Villa, D 0-0 @ Tromso.

Brighton hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sunderland 0-1 Brighton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sunderland

WWWLW10-3-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHFulham1-0
  • LAIpswich1-2
  • WHRennes2-1
  • WALens2-0
  • WAWrexham1-0

Brighton

WDWWL12-2-5

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAChelsea3-4
  • WHTromso4-0
  • WHAston Villa4-0
  • DATromso0-0
  • WHBologna1-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

SunderlandrecordBrighton
0
2
1 draw

Goals

0-2

for each

Avg goals

0.7

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Sunderland

Recent
LDL
Wins 0Goals 0-2

Brighton

Recent
WDW
Wins 2Goals 2-0

Biggest win 1-0

  • Sunderland0-1Brighton
  • Brighton0-0Sunderland
  • Brighton1-0Sunderland

Managers

R. Le Bris

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Lorient2022–2024
  • Lorient II2016–2022

F. Hürzeler

Germany · 32

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • St. Pauli2022–2024
  • Pipinsried2016–2020

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.