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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 · England

Liverpool v Manchester City

· Anfield, Liverpool

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Liverpool v Manchester City: the model read

Liverpool meet Manchester City in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Anfield, Liverpool.

Manchester City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1466. Recent form leans Manchester City, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Manchester City on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Liverpool arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nottingham Forest, D 2-2 @ Newcastle, D 0-0 v Como, L 2-3 v Monaco.

Manchester City are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Crystal Palace, W 2-1 v Bournemouth, L 0-3 @ Arsenal, W 3-1 v Atletico Madrid.

Manchester City hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manchester City 4-0 Liverpool.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Liverpool

LLDDD6-6-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • DHNottingham Forest2-2
  • DANewcastle2-2
  • DHComo0-0
  • LHMonaco2-3
  • LHLeeds2-4

Manchester City

WWLWW13-4-3

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WACrystal Palace4-1
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • LAArsenal0-3
  • WHAtletico Madrid3-1
  • WAK-League Stars3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LiverpoolrecordManchester City
3
5
2 draws

Goals

11-18

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Liverpool

Recent
LLLWWD
Wins 3Goals 11-18

Biggest win 2-0

Manchester City

Recent
WWWLLD
Wins 5Goals 18-11

Biggest win 4-0

  • Manchester City4-0Liverpool
  • Liverpool1-2Manchester City
  • Manchester City3-0Liverpool
  • Manchester City0-2Liverpool
  • Liverpool2-0Manchester City
  • Liverpool1-1Manchester City
  • Manchester City1-1Liverpool
  • Manchester City4-1Liverpool
  • Manchester City3-2Liverpool
  • Liverpool1-0Manchester City

Managers

Andoni Iraola

Spain · 43

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Rayo Vallecano2020–2023
  • Mirandes2019–2020
  • AEK Larnaca2018–2019

Guardiola

Head coach

In charge since 2016

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.