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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 · England

Chelsea v Bournemouth

· Stamford Bridge, London

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chelsea v Bournemouth: the model read

Chelsea meet Bournemouth in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Stamford Bridge, London.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bournemouth, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bournemouth on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Chelsea arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Brighton, W 2-0 v Luton, W 3-2 @ Fulham, W 3-1 v Real Sociedad.

Bournemouth are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Everton, L 1-2 @ Manchester City, L 1-2 @ FSV Mainz 05, D 2-2 @ Real Betis.

Chelsea hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chelsea

DWWWW9-2-9

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBrighton4-3
  • WHLuton2-0
  • WAFulham3-2
  • WHReal Sociedad3-1
  • DAJohor Darul Takzim FC3-3

Bournemouth

WDLLD8-10-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • DHEverton1-1
  • LAManchester City1-2
  • LAFSV Mainz 051-2
  • DAReal Betis2-2
  • WHGenoa10-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

ChelsearecordBournemouth
5
0
4 draws

Goals

14-7

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

Chelsea

Recent
DDDWWD
Wins 5Goals 14-7

Biggest win 3-1

Bournemouth

Recent
DDDLLD
Wins 0Goals 7-14
  • Chelsea2-2Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth0-0Chelsea
  • Chelsea2-2Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth0-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea2-1Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth0-0Chelsea
  • Bournemouth1-3Chelsea
  • Chelsea2-0Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth1-2Chelsea

Managers

Xabi Alonso

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 4 teams managed

  • Real Madrid2025–2026
  • Bayer Leverkusen2022–2025
  • Real Sociedad II2019–2022

J. Tindall

England · 48

In charge since 2020

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.