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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 · England

Aston Villa v Brentford

· Villa Park, Birmingham

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Aston Villa v Brentford: the model read

Aston Villa meet Brentford in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Villa Park, Birmingham.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brentford, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Brentford on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Aston Villa arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.

Brentford are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 21 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Leeds, W 6-1 @ Birmingham, W 3-0 v Tottenham, W 7-0 v Eintracht Frankfurt.

Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Aston Villa

LLLLL8-2-10

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHArsenal0-1
  • LABrighton0-4
  • LABorussia Mönchengladbach1-2
  • LAParis Saint Germain1-2
  • LABayern München1-2

Brentford

WWWWD7-10-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DALeeds1-1
  • WABirmingham6-1
  • WHTottenham3-0
  • WHEintracht Frankfurt7-0
  • WARennes4-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Aston VillarecordBrentford
4
2
4 draws

Goals

18-12

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Aston Villa

Recent
LDLWWD
Wins 4Goals 18-12

Biggest win 4-0

Brentford

Recent
WDWLLD
Wins 2Goals 12-18

Biggest win 1-0

  • Aston Villa0-1Brentford
  • Brentford1-1Aston Villa
  • Brentford1-0Aston Villa
  • Brentford0-1Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa3-1Brentford
  • Aston Villa3-3Brentford
  • Brentford1-2Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa3-3Brentford
  • Brentford1-1Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa4-0Brentford

Managers

Unai Emery

Spain · 54

In charge since 2022 · 9 teams managed

  • Villarreal2020–2022
  • Arsenal2018–2019
  • PSG2016–2018
  • Sevilla2013–2016

Keith Andrews

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.