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Premier League · Regular Season - 5 · England

Bournemouth v Liverpool

· Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bournemouth v Liverpool: the model read

Bournemouth meet Liverpool in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bournemouth, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bournemouth on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Bournemouth arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Everton, L 1-2 @ Manchester City, L 1-2 @ FSV Mainz 05, D 2-2 @ Real Betis.

Liverpool are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nottingham Forest, D 2-2 @ Newcastle, D 0-0 v Como, L 2-3 v Monaco.

Liverpool hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bournemouth

WDLLD8-10-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • DHEverton1-1
  • LAManchester City1-2
  • LAFSV Mainz 051-2
  • DAReal Betis2-2
  • WHGenoa10-1

Liverpool

LLDDD6-6-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • DHNottingham Forest2-2
  • DANewcastle2-2
  • DHComo0-0
  • LHMonaco2-3
  • LHLeeds2-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

BournemouthrecordLiverpool
2
8
0 draws

Goals

9-31

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Bournemouth

Recent
WLLLLL
Wins 2Goals 9-31

Biggest win 3-2

Liverpool

Recent
LWWWWW
Wins 8Goals 31-9

Biggest win 9-0

  • Bournemouth3-2Liverpool
  • Liverpool4-2Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth0-2Liverpool
  • Liverpool3-0Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth0-4Liverpool
  • Bournemouth1-2Liverpool
  • Liverpool3-1Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth1-0Liverpool
  • Liverpool9-0Bournemouth
  • Liverpool2-1Bournemouth

Managers

J. Tindall

England · 48

In charge since 2020

Andoni Iraola

Spain · 43

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Rayo Vallecano2020–2023
  • Mirandes2019–2020
  • AEK Larnaca2018–2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool — Premier League forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister