Skip to content
Premier League · Regular Season - 3 · England

Hull City v Aston Villa

· MKM Stadium, Hull· Referee: M. Oliver

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Hull City v Aston Villa: the model read

Hull City meet Aston Villa in the Premier League regular season - 3 at MKM Stadium, Hull.

The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hull City, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Hull City arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Coventry, D 1-1 @ Stoke City, W 2-0 v Manchester United, D 0-0 v Nice.

Aston Villa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.

Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Aston Villa 2-2 Hull City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Hull City

LDWDW8-8-3

Scored 1.26 · Conceded 0.79 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WACoventry1-0
  • DAStoke City1-1
  • WHManchester United2-0
  • DHNice0-0
  • LAEintracht Frankfurt0-2

Aston Villa

LLLLL8-2-10

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHArsenal0-1
  • LABrighton0-4
  • LABorussia Mönchengladbach1-2
  • LAParis Saint Germain1-2
  • LABayern München1-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Hull CityrecordAston Villa
1
3
4 draws

Goals

8-11

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Hull City

Recent
DLDDWL
Wins 1Goals 8-11

Biggest win 2-0

Aston Villa

Recent
DWDDLW
Wins 3Goals 11-8

Biggest win 3-1

  • Aston Villa2-2Hull City
  • Hull City1-3Aston Villa
  • Hull City0-0Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa1-1Hull City
  • Hull City2-0Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa2-1Hull City
  • Aston Villa3-1Hull City
  • Hull City0-0Aston Villa

Managers

S. Jakirović

Bosnia and Herzegovina · 49

In charge since 2025 · 8 teams managed

  • Dinamo Zagreb2023–2024
  • Rijeka2022–2023
  • Zrinjski2021–2022
  • Maribor2020–2020

Unai Emery

Spain · 54

In charge since 2022 · 9 teams managed

  • Villarreal2020–2022
  • Arsenal2018–2019
  • PSG2016–2018
  • Sevilla2013–2016

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.