Everton v Manchester United: the model read
Everton meet Manchester United in the Premier League regular season - 3 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Manchester United, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Manchester United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Everton arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bournemouth, W 4-0 @ Preston, W 2-0 v Crystal Palace, D 1-1 v Lille.
Manchester United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Ipswich, L 0-2 @ Hull City, L 2-4 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Leeds.
Manchester United hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Everton 0-1 Manchester United.
The market prices EVE at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
