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Premier League · Regular Season - 1 · England

Nottingham Forest v Leeds

0-1Full time· City Ground, Nottingham· Referee: Robert Jones, England

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nottingham Forest v Leeds: the model read

Nottingham Forest meet Leeds in the Premier League regular season - 1 at City Ground, Nottingham.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leeds, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Leeds on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.

Nottingham Forest arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Coventry, W 2-1 @ Aston Villa, D 0-0 v Tottenham, D 2-2 @ Liverpool.

Leeds are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Crystal Palace, W 4-1 v Newcastle, L 3-6 @ Chelsea, D 1-1 @ Brighton.

Leeds hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nottingham Forest

LDDWL7-5-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • LHCoventry0-1
  • WAAston Villa2-1
  • DHTottenham0-0
  • DALiverpool2-2
  • LHLeeds0-2

Leeds

DDLWD10-6-4

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • DHCrystal Palace0-0
  • WHNewcastle4-1
  • LAChelsea3-6
  • DABrighton1-1
  • DHBrentford1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Nottingham ForestrecordLeeds
4
5
1 draw

Goals

13-14

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Nottingham Forest

Recent
LLLWLL
Wins 4Goals 13-14

Biggest win 3-1

Leeds

Recent
WWWLWW
Wins 5Goals 14-13

Biggest win 2-0

  • Nottingham Forest0-2Leeds
  • Nottingham Forest0-1Leeds
  • Leeds3-1Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest3-1Leeds
  • Nottingham Forest0-2Leeds
  • Leeds2-1Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest1-0Leeds
  • Nottingham Forest2-0Leeds
  • Leeds1-1Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest4-2Leeds

Managers

O. Glasner

Austria · 51

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Eintracht Frankfurt2021–2023
  • Wolfsburg2019–2021
  • LASK2015–2019
  • Ried2014–2015

D. Farke

Germany · 49

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Borussia M'gladbach2022–2023
  • Krasnodar2022–2022
  • Norwich City2017–2021
  • Borussia Dortmund II2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.