Skip to content
Premier League · Regular Season - 1 · England

Ipswich v Sunderland

· Portman Road, Ipswich

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Ipswich v Sunderland: the model read

Ipswich meet Sunderland in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Portman Road, Ipswich. The model makes Ipswich the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% IPS, 30% draw, 31% SUN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ipswich, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ipswich on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Ipswich at 56%; double chance reads Ipswich or draw 69%, Sunderland or draw 60%.

Ipswich arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v QPR, D 2-2 @ Southampton, D 0-0 @ West Brom, W 2-1 @ Charlton.

Sunderland are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ York, W 2-1 v Chelsea, W 3-1 @ Everton, D 0-0 v Manchester United.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Ipswich

DWDDW9-7-4

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • WHQPR3-0
  • DASouthampton2-2
  • DAWest Brom0-0
  • WACharlton2-1
  • DHMiddlesbrough2-2

Sunderland

DDWWW9-3-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WAYork5-1
  • WHChelsea2-1
  • WAEverton3-1
  • DHManchester United0-0
  • DAWolves1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

IpswichrecordSunderland
4
4
2 draws

Goals

14-12

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Ipswich

Recent
WWDLLL
Wins 4Goals 14-12

Biggest win 5-2

Sunderland

Recent
LLDWWW
Wins 4Goals 12-14

Biggest win 2-0

  • Ipswich2-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland1-2Ipswich
  • Ipswich1-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland2-0Ipswich
  • Ipswich0-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland2-1Ipswich
  • Sunderland1-0Ipswich
  • Ipswich1-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland0-2Ipswich
  • Ipswich5-2Sunderland

Managers

K. McKenna

Northern Ireland · 39

In charge since 2021 · 4 clubs managed

  • Manchester United U192017–2017
  • Manchester United U182016–2018
  • Tottenham Hotspur U182016–2016

R. Le Bris

France · 50

In charge since 2024 · 3 clubs managed

  • Lorient2022–2024
  • Lorient II2015–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.