Where the market is wrong on Montrose v Queen of the South
Montrose meet Queen of the South in the League One regular season - 5 at Links Park, Montrose.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Montrose on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Montrose arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Queen of the South, W 3-0 v Clyde, W 3-0 v East Kilbride, L 0-3 @ Alloa Athletic.
Queen of the South are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Montrose, W 1-0 v Hibernian U21, L 0-2 v Alloa Athletic, W 4-0 v Cumbernauld Colts.
Montrose hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Montrose 2-1 Queen of the South.
The market prices MON at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Queen of the South: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
