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League One · Regular Season - 5 · Scotland

Hamilton Academical v Cove Rangers

1-0Full time· ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Hamilton Academical v Cove Rangers

Hamilton Academical meet Cove Rangers in the League One regular season - 5 at ZLX Stadium, Hamilton.

Hamilton Academical rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1613 to 1466. Recent form leans Hamilton Academical, 66% against 43%. Attacking output favors Hamilton Academical on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.

Hamilton Academical arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Cove Rangers, L 0-1 v Edinburgh City, D 0-0 @ East Fife, W 4-0 v Airdrie United.

Cove Rangers are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Hamilton Academical, W 2-0 v Dundee United II, W 3-0 v Peterhead, L 0-3 @ East Kilbride.

Hamilton Academical hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamilton Academical 1-0 Cove Rangers.

The market prices HAM at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hamilton Academical

LWDLW10-5-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHCove Rangers1-0
  • LHEdinburgh City0-1
  • DAEast Fife0-0
  • WHAirdrie United4-0
  • LHCeltic II1-3

Cove Rangers

LLWWL7-3-10

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 30%

  • LAHamilton Academical0-1
  • WHDundee United II2-0
  • WHPeterhead3-0
  • LAEast Kilbride0-3
  • LAStirling Albion2-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Hamilton AcademicalrecordCove Rangers
5
2
3 draws

Goals

14-8

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Hamilton Academical

Recent
WDWLDW
Wins 5Goals 14-8

Biggest win 2-0

Cove Rangers

Recent
LDLWDL
Wins 2Goals 8-14

Biggest win 2-1

  • Hamilton Academical1-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers2-2Hamilton Academical
  • Hamilton Academical2-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers2-1Hamilton Academical
  • Hamilton Academical0-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-3Hamilton Academical
  • Hamilton Academical2-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-0Hamilton Academical
  • Hamilton Academical1-0Cove Rangers
  • Hamilton Academical2-2Cove Rangers

Managers

J. Rankin

Scotland · 42

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Hearts II2021–2022

Paul Hartley

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.