Where the market is wrong on Alloa Athletic v Peterhead
Alloa Athletic meet Peterhead in the League One regular season - 5 at Recreation Park, Alloa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Peterhead on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Alloa Athletic arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Peterhead, W 3-0 v Motherwell U21, W 2-0 @ Queen of the South, W 3-0 v Montrose.
Peterhead are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Alloa Athletic, W 2-1 v Dundee II, L 0-3 @ Cove Rangers, W 2-1 v East Fife.
Alloa Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alloa Athletic 1-1 Peterhead.
The market prices ALL at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Peterhead: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
