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Championship · Regular Season - 14 · Scotland

Morton v Stenhousemuir

· Cappielow Park, Greenock

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Morton v Stenhousemuir: the model read

Morton meet Stenhousemuir in the Championship regular season - 14 at Cappielow Park, Greenock.

Stenhousemuir rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1400. Recent form leans Stenhousemuir, 78% against 11%. Attacking output favors Stenhousemuir on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.

Morton arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Raith Rovers, L 0-2 @ Inverness CT, L 0-1 v Dunfermline, L 1-4 v Livingston.

Stenhousemuir are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ayr Utd, W 1-0 v Arbroath, W 1-0 v Partick, L 0-3 v Heart Of Midlothian.

Morton hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Morton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Morton

LLLLL0-4-15

Scored 0.47 · Conceded 1.84 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LHRaith Rovers1-2
  • LAInverness CT0-2
  • LHDunfermline0-1
  • LHLivingston1-4
  • LAQueen's Park1-2

Stenhousemuir

WLWWW13-5-2

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WAAyr Utd1-0
  • WHArbroath1-0
  • WHPartick1-0
  • LHHeart Of Midlothian0-3
  • WALivingston1-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

MortonrecordStenhousemuir
3
2
0 draws

Goals

6-6

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Morton

Recent
LLWWW
Wins 3Goals 6-6

Biggest win 3-0

Stenhousemuir

Recent
WWLLL
Wins 2Goals 6-6

Biggest win 4-0

  • Stenhousemuir2-0Morton
  • Stenhousemuir4-0Morton
  • Morton3-0Stenhousemuir
  • Stenhousemuir0-1Morton
  • Morton2-0Stenhousemuir

Managers

Ian Murray

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Marvin Bartley

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Livingston2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.