Where the market is wrong on Inverness CT v Raith Rovers
Inverness CT meet Raith Rovers in the Championship regular season - 5 at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 65%. Attacking output favors Raith Rovers on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Inverness CT arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Raith Rovers, L 1-3 @ Stenhousemuir, D 1-1 v Partick, L 2-6 @ Heart Of Midlothian.
Raith Rovers are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Inverness CT, L 0-1 @ Dunfermline, W 2-0 v Ayr Utd, W 2-1 @ Queen's Park.
Raith Rovers hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inverness CT 0-2 Raith Rovers.
The market prices INV at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Raith Rovers: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
