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Championship · Regular Season - 4 · Scotland

Ayr Utd v Morton

1-1Full time· Somerset Park, Ayr· Referee: D. McFarlane

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ayr Utd v Morton: the model read

Ayr Utd meet Morton in the Championship regular season - 4 at Somerset Park, Ayr.

Ayr Utd rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1553 to 1400. Recent form leans Ayr Utd, 55% against 21%. Attacking output favors Ayr Utd on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.6 per match.

Ayr Utd arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morton, L 0-2 @ Raith Rovers, L 2-3 @ Kilmarnock, D 1-1 @ Dunfermline.

Morton are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ayr Utd, L 1-2 v Arbroath, L 0-2 @ Stenhousemuir, L 0-1 v Partick.

Ayr Utd hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ayr Utd 1-1 Morton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ayr Utd

WDLLD9-3-7

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 47.4%

  • DHMorton1-1
  • LARaith Rovers0-2
  • LAKilmarnock2-3
  • DADunfermline1-1
  • WHArbroath2-0

Morton

LLLLD2-4-13

Scored 0.58 · Conceded 1.68 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 42.1%

  • DAAyr Utd1-1
  • LHArbroath1-2
  • LAStenhousemuir0-2
  • LHPartick0-1
  • LHInverness CT0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Ayr UtdrecordMorton
3
2
5 draws

Goals

11-9

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Ayr Utd

Recent
DLDWDL
Wins 3Goals 11-9

Biggest win 2-0

Morton

Recent
DWDLDW
Wins 2Goals 9-11

Biggest win 1-0

  • Ayr Utd1-1Morton
  • Ayr Utd0-1Morton
  • Morton1-1Ayr Utd
  • Ayr Utd2-1Morton
  • Morton2-2Ayr Utd
  • Morton2-1Ayr Utd
  • Ayr Utd0-0Morton
  • Ayr Utd2-0Morton
  • Morton1-1Ayr Utd
  • Ayr Utd1-0Morton

Managers

John Rankin

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Hamilton Academical2025–2026

Ian Murray

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.