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Premiership · Regular Season - 9 · Scotland

Kilmarnock v Motherwell

· Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Kilmarnock v Motherwell: the model read

Kilmarnock meet Motherwell in the Premiership regular season - 9 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

Kilmarnock rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1454. Recent form leans Kilmarnock, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Kilmarnock on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.

Motherwell are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ ST Mirren, L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, L 1-3 v SC Freiburg, L 0-1 @ Stenhousemuir.

Motherwell hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motherwell 4-0 Kilmarnock.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kilmarnock

DLLWL11-3-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LHDundee Utd0-4
  • WHAyr Utd3-2
  • LHCeltic1-5
  • LAST Johnstone3-4
  • DAPeterhead0-0

Motherwell

WLLLD6-5-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • DAST Mirren3-3
  • LASC Freiburg1-4
  • LHSC Freiburg1-3
  • LAStenhousemuir0-1
  • WHHJK Helsinki2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

KilmarnockrecordMotherwell
2
4
4 draws

Goals

8-15

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Kilmarnock

Recent
LLDLWD
Wins 2Goals 8-15

Biggest win 2-0

Motherwell

Recent
WWDWLD
Wins 4Goals 15-8

Biggest win 4-0

  • Motherwell4-0Kilmarnock
  • Kilmarnock1-3Motherwell
  • Motherwell2-2Kilmarnock
  • Motherwell3-0Kilmarnock
  • Kilmarnock2-0Motherwell
  • Kilmarnock0-0Motherwell
  • Motherwell1-1Kilmarnock
  • Motherwell1-0Kilmarnock
  • Motherwell1-1Kilmarnock
  • Kilmarnock1-0Motherwell

Managers

Neil McCann

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Alfred Johansson

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Rosenborg2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — Premiership forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister