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Premiership · Regular Season - 7 · Scotland

Kilmarnock v Heart Of Midlothian

· Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Kilmarnock v Heart Of Midlothian: the model read

Kilmarnock meet Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership regular season - 7 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 60%. Attacking output favors Heart Of Midlothian on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.

Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.

Heart Of Midlothian are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v ST Johnstone, D 1-1 @ Rapid Vienna, D 2-2 v Rapid Vienna, W 6-2 v Inverness CT.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kilmarnock

DLLWL11-3-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LHDundee Utd0-4
  • WHAyr Utd3-2
  • LHCeltic1-5
  • LAST Johnstone3-4
  • DAPeterhead0-0

Heart Of Midlothian

DWDDW10-4-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHST Johnstone2-1
  • DARapid Vienna1-1
  • DHRapid Vienna2-2
  • WHInverness CT6-2
  • DHBenfica1-1

Managers

Neil McCann

Head coach

In charge since 2026

D. McInnes

Scotland · 54

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Kilmarnock2022–2025
  • Aberdeen2013–2021
  • Bristol City2011–2013
  • St. Johnstone2007–2011

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.