Kilmarnock v ST Mirren: the model read
Kilmarnock meet ST Mirren in the Premiership regular season - 5 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Kilmarnock on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.
ST Mirren are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Motherwell, L 1-5 @ Rangers, W 1-0 v ST Johnstone, W 2-0 @ Falkirk.
Kilmarnock hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ST Mirren 0-3 Kilmarnock.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
