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Premiership · Regular Season - 5 · Scotland

Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian

· Easter Road, Edinburgh· Referee: D. Robertson

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian: the model read

Hibernian meet Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership regular season - 5 at Easter Road, Edinburgh.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Heart Of Midlothian on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Hibernian arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dundee, L 2-3 v Gent, D 0-0 @ Gent, W 1-0 v Partick.

Heart Of Midlothian are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v ST Johnstone, D 1-1 @ Rapid Vienna, D 2-2 v Rapid Vienna, W 6-2 v Inverness CT.

Heart Of Midlothian hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hibernian 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian.

The market broadly agrees with the model here, 37% implied on HIB against our 37%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hibernian

DWDLW10-2-8

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WADundee2-1
  • LHGent2-3
  • DAGent0-0
  • WHPartick1-0
  • DAShkendija0-0

Heart Of Midlothian

DWDDW10-4-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHST Johnstone2-1
  • DARapid Vienna1-1
  • DHRapid Vienna2-2
  • WHInverness CT6-2
  • DHBenfica1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

HibernianrecordHeart Of Midlothian
3
4
3 draws

Goals

12-13

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Hibernian

Recent
LLWLWW
Wins 3Goals 12-13

Biggest win 3-2

Heart Of Midlothian

Recent
WWLWLL
Wins 4Goals 13-12

Biggest win 2-1

  • Hibernian1-2Heart Of Midlothian
  • Heart Of Midlothian1-0Hibernian
  • Hibernian3-2Heart Of Midlothian
  • Heart Of Midlothian1-0Hibernian
  • Hibernian2-1Heart Of Midlothian
  • Heart Of Midlothian1-2Hibernian
  • Hibernian1-1Heart Of Midlothian
  • Heart Of Midlothian1-1Hibernian
  • Hibernian0-1Heart Of Midlothian
  • Heart Of Midlothian2-2Hibernian

Managers

David Gray

Head coach

In charge since 2025

D. McInnes

Scotland · 54

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Kilmarnock2022–2025
  • Aberdeen2013–2021
  • Bristol City2011–2013
  • St. Johnstone2007–2011

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.