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Premiership · Regular Season - 3 · Scotland

Motherwell v Aberdeen

· Fir Park, Motherwell

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Motherwell v Aberdeen: the model read

Motherwell meet Aberdeen in the Premiership regular season - 3 at Fir Park, Motherwell.

Aberdeen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1454. Recent form leans Aberdeen, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Aberdeen on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Motherwell arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ ST Mirren, L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, L 1-3 v SC Freiburg, L 0-1 @ Stenhousemuir.

Aberdeen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rangers, W 3-0 v Dundee, L 0-2 @ Dundee, W 2-1 v Heart Of Midlothian.

Aberdeen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aberdeen 2-0 Motherwell.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Motherwell

WLLLD6-5-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • DAST Mirren3-3
  • LASC Freiburg1-4
  • LHSC Freiburg1-3
  • LAStenhousemuir0-1
  • WHHJK Helsinki2-0

Aberdeen

WWLWL11-1-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHRangers0-1
  • WHDundee3-0
  • LADundee0-2
  • WHHeart Of Midlothian2-1
  • WHKelty Hearts3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MotherwellrecordAberdeen
4
5
1 draw

Goals

10-11

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Motherwell

Recent
LWDWWL
Wins 4Goals 10-11

Biggest win 2-0

Aberdeen

Recent
WLDLLW
Wins 5Goals 11-10

Biggest win 4-1

  • Aberdeen2-0Motherwell
  • Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen1-1Motherwell
  • Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen0-1Motherwell
  • Aberdeen4-1Motherwell
  • Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen2-1Motherwell
  • Aberdeen1-0Motherwell
  • Motherwell0-1Aberdeen

Managers

Alfred Johansson

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Rosenborg2025–2026

Stephen Robinson

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • ST Mirren2026–2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.