Lucko v Jarun: the model read
Lucko meet Jarun in the Second NL regular season - 1. The model makes Jarun the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% LUC, 31% draw, 38% JAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 35%. Attacking output favors Jarun on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Jarun at 56%; double chance reads Lucko or draw 62%, Jarun or draw 69%.
Lucko arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dakovo-Croatia, L 0-2 @ Dugo Selo, L 2-3 v Jadran LP, D 2-2 @ Grobničan Čavle.
Jarun are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Križevci, L 1-3 @ Mladost Ždralovi, D 1-1 v HNK Cibalia, L 1-2 @ Karlovac 1919.
Lucko hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Lucko 1-1 Jarun.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
