FC ST. Gallen v Benfica: the model read
FC ST. Gallen meet Benfica in the UEFA Europa League 2nd qualifying round at Kybunpark, St. Gallen. The model makes Benfica the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% FC , 28% draw, 40% BEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 70%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Benfica at 56%; double chance reads FC ST. Gallen or draw 60%, Benfica or draw 69%.
FC ST. Gallen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Zurich, W 2-1 v Benfica, L 0-3 v Norwich, L 3-6 @ Lyon.
Benfica are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v CF Os Belenenses, L 1-2 @ FC ST. Gallen, W 2-0 v Villarreal, L 1-2 v Flamengo.
FC ST. Gallen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC ST. Gallen 2-1 Benfica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
