Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca: the model read
Beitar Jerusalem meet AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Teddy Stadium, Ploiesti. The model makes Beitar Jerusalem the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% BEI, 31% draw, 29% AEK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beitar Jerusalem, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors Beitar Jerusalem on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Beitar Jerusalem at 57%; double chance reads Beitar Jerusalem or draw 71%, AEK Larnaca or draw 60%.
Beitar Jerusalem arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ AEK Larnaca, D 2-2 v Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 1-0 v Dukagjini, D 0-0 @ Arda Kardzhali.
AEK Larnaca are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Beitar Jerusalem, D 0-0 @ Apollon Limassol, L 0-1 @ Ajax, L 2-3 @ PAOK.
Beitar Jerusalem hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
