Polessya v FC Copenhagen

Polessya meet FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Košická futbalová aréna, Kosice. The model makes FC Copenhagen the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 33% POL, 27% draw, 40% FC .

FC Copenhagen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1565. Recent form leans FC Copenhagen, 78% against 58%. Attacking output favors FC Copenhagen on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans FC Copenhagen at 55%; double chance reads Polessya or draw 60%, FC Copenhagen or draw 67%.

Polessya arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FC Copenhagen, D 3-3 v FC Copenhagen, L 0-2 @ Plzen, L 1-3 v Shimizu S-pulse.

FC Copenhagen are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Polessya, W 3-2 v Lyngby, D 3-3 @ Polessya, W 2-1 v Viborg.

FC Copenhagen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya.

The market prices POL at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Polessya: a 10.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.