Where the market is wrong on Žalgiris II v Transinvest 2
Žalgiris II meet Transinvest 2 in the 1 Lyga regular season - 21.
Žalgiris II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Žalgiris II, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors Žalgiris II on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Žalgiris II at 72%; double chance reads Žalgiris II or draw 79%, Transinvest 2 or draw 47%.
Žalgiris II arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Transinvest 2, W 4-1 @ FA Šiauliai II, W 2-1 v Kauno Žalgiris II, D 1-1 @ Ekranas.
Transinvest 2 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Žalgiris II, W 2-0 v Atmosfera, L 2-4 @ BFA, L 0-1 v Babrungas.
The market prices ŽAL at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output