Neptūną Klaipėda v FA Šiauliai II

Neptūną Klaipėda meet FA Šiauliai II in the 1 Lyga regular season - 17. The model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% NEP, 26% draw, 23% FA .

Neptūną Klaipėda rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Neptūną Klaipėda, 60% against 28%. Attacking output favors Neptūną Klaipėda on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Neptūną Klaipėda at 69%; double chance reads Neptūną Klaipėda or draw 77%, FA Šiauliai II or draw 49%.

Neptūną Klaipėda arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FA Šiauliai II, D 2-2 @ Transinvest 2, L 0-1 @ Dainava, W 2-1 v Kauno Žalgiris II.

FA Šiauliai II are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Neptūną Klaipėda, L 1-3 @ Tauras, L 1-3 v Tauras, L 0-1 v Babrungas.

Neptūną Klaipėda hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Neptūną Klaipėda 2-1 FA Šiauliai II.

The market prices NEP at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.