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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 · Japan

FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock

· Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock: the model read

FC Tokyo meet Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League regular season - 12 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.

FC Tokyo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans FC Tokyo, 65% against 30%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.

FC Tokyo arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Ehime FC, W 1-0 v Nagoya Grampus, W 2-0 @ Gamba Osaka, W 2-0 v Kyoto Sanga.

Mito Hollyhock are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Fukushima United, L 0-2 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, L 0-1 v Kawasaki Frontale, D 0-0 @ Parceiro Nagano.

FC Tokyo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Tokyo 5-2 Mito Hollyhock.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Tokyo

DWWWW11-4-5

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WAEhime FC2-0
  • WHNagoya Grampus1-0
  • WAGamba Osaka2-0
  • WHKyoto Sanga2-0
  • DAShimizu S-pulse1-1

Mito Hollyhock

DDLLW3-6-11

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 55%

  • WAFukushima United7-0
  • LAYokohama F. Marinos0-2
  • LHKawasaki Frontale0-1
  • DAParceiro Nagano0-0
  • DAAvispa Fukuoka1-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

FC TokyorecordMito Hollyhock
2
1
1 draw

Goals

10-6

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

FC Tokyo

Recent
WDLW
Wins 2Goals 10-6

Biggest win 5-2

Mito Hollyhock

Recent
LDWL
Wins 1Goals 6-10

Biggest win 3-2

  • FC Tokyo5-2Mito Hollyhock
  • Mito Hollyhock1-1FC Tokyo
  • FC Tokyo2-3Mito Hollyhock
  • FC Tokyo2-0Mito Hollyhock

Managers

R. Matsuhashi

Japan · 57

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Albirex Niigata2022–2024

Daisuke Kimori

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.