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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 · Japan

Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka

· Toyota Stadium, Toyota City

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka: the model read

Nagoya Grampus meet Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League regular season - 11 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City.

Cerezo Osaka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1420. Recent form leans Cerezo Osaka, 70% against 35%. Attacking output favors Cerezo Osaka on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Nagoya Grampus arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Kitakyushu, L 0-1 @ FC Tokyo, L 0-2 @ V-varen Nagasaki, L 1-3 v Machida Zelvia.

Cerezo Osaka are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Fujieda MYFC, D 1-1 @ V-varen Nagasaki, L 1-6 @ Sanfrecce Hiroshima, D 0-0 v Tokyo Verdy.

Nagoya Grampus hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerezo Osaka 6-1 Nagoya Grampus.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nagoya Grampus

LLLLW6-2-12

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 70%

  • WAKitakyushu3-1
  • LAFC Tokyo0-1
  • LAV-varen Nagasaki0-2
  • LHMachida Zelvia1-3
  • LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3

Cerezo Osaka

WDLDW11-6-3

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • WAFujieda MYFC2-1
  • DAV-varen Nagasaki1-1
  • LASanfrecce Hiroshima1-6
  • DHTokyo Verdy0-0
  • WHKashiwa Reysol2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Nagoya GrampusrecordCerezo Osaka
5
4
1 draw

Goals

16-17

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Nagoya Grampus

Recent
LWWDLW
Wins 5Goals 16-17

Biggest win 3-0

Cerezo Osaka

Recent
WLLDWL
Wins 4Goals 17-16

Biggest win 6-1

  • Cerezo Osaka6-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus3-0Cerezo Osaka
  • Nagoya Grampus2-1Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka1-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Cerezo Osaka2-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus2-1Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka3-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus3-1Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka0-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus1-2Cerezo Osaka

Managers

Mihailo Petrovic

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Pablo Machin

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.