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J1 League · Regular Season - 8 · Japan

Shimizu S-pulse v JEF United Chiba

· IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Shimizu S-pulse v JEF United Chiba

Shimizu S-pulse meet JEF United Chiba in the J1 League regular season - 8 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shimizu S-pulse, 43% against 25%. Attacking output favors Shimizu S-pulse on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.

Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Avispa Fukuoka, L 1-3 @ Kawasaki Frontale, D 1-1 v FC Tokyo, L 0-1 v Kashiwa Reysol.

JEF United Chiba are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tokyo Verdy, W 2-0 @ Kamatamare Sanuki, W 2-0 v Gamba Osaka, L 1-2 v Fagiano Okayama.

The market prices SHI at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on JEF United Chiba: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Shimizu S-pulse

WLDLW6-5-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 60%

  • WHAvispa Fukuoka1-0
  • LAKawasaki Frontale1-3
  • DHFC Tokyo1-1
  • LHKashiwa Reysol0-1
  • WHOsaka2-1

JEF United Chiba

LLWWD3-4-13

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • DATokyo Verdy1-1
  • WAKamatamare Sanuki2-0
  • WHGamba Osaka2-0
  • LHFagiano Okayama1-2
  • LAKawasaki Frontale2-4

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