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J1 League · Regular Season - 7 · Japan

V-varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus

2-0Full time· Peace Stadium, Nagasaki· Referee: Akihiko Ikeuchi, Japan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

V-varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus: the model read

V-varen Nagasaki meet Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League regular season - 7 at Peace Stadium, Nagasaki.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 35%. Attacking output favors V-varen Nagasaki on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

V-varen Nagasaki arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Gainare Tottori, D 1-1 v Cerezo Osaka, W 2-0 v Nagoya Grampus, W 1-0 @ Kochi United.

Nagoya Grampus are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Kitakyushu, L 0-1 @ FC Tokyo, L 0-2 @ V-varen Nagasaki, L 1-3 v Machida Zelvia.

V-varen Nagasaki hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: V-varen Nagasaki 2-0 Nagoya Grampus.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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V-varen Nagasaki

LWWDL7-3-10

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAGainare Tottori0-2
  • DHCerezo Osaka1-1
  • WHNagoya Grampus2-0
  • WAKochi United1-0
  • LAVissel Kobe1-3

Nagoya Grampus

LLLLW6-2-12

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 70%

  • WAKitakyushu3-1
  • LAFC Tokyo0-1
  • LAV-varen Nagasaki0-2
  • LHMachida Zelvia1-3
  • LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3

Head-to-head

7 meetings

V-varen NagasakirecordNagoya Grampus
4
2
1 draw

Goals

14-9

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

57%

both scored

Over 2.5

57%

3+ goals

V-varen Nagasaki

Recent
WLWWWD
Wins 4Goals 14-9

Biggest win 3-0

Nagoya Grampus

Recent
LWLLLD
Wins 2Goals 9-14

Biggest win 2-0

  • V-varen Nagasaki2-0Nagoya Grampus
  • V-varen Nagasaki1-2Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus1-3V-varen Nagasaki
  • Nagoya Grampus3-4V-varen Nagasaki
  • V-varen Nagasaki3-0Nagoya Grampus
  • V-varen Nagasaki1-1Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus2-0V-varen Nagasaki

Managers

Takuya Takagi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Mihailo Petrovic

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.