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J1 League · Regular Season - 5 · Japan

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kyoto Sanga

· Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Yokohama F. Marinos v Kyoto Sanga

Yokohama F. Marinos meet Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League regular season - 5 at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yokohama F. Marinos, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Yokohama F. Marinos on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Urawa, W 1-0 v Fukushima United, W 1-0 v Vissel Kobe, W 1-0 @ Shimizu S-pulse.

Kyoto Sanga are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Avispa Fukuoka, W 1-0 v Maruyasu Okazaki, L 1-3 v Mito Hollyhock, D 2-2 @ Kawasaki Frontale.

Yokohama F. Marinos hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos.

The market prices YOK at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Yokohama F. Marinos: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Yokohama F. Marinos

LWWWL9-4-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAUrawa2-3
  • WHFukushima United1-0
  • WHVissel Kobe1-0
  • WAShimizu S-pulse1-0
  • LHKashima3-4

Kyoto Sanga

LDLWW6-4-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • WHAvispa Fukuoka2-1
  • WHMaruyasu Okazaki1-0
  • LHMito Hollyhock1-3
  • DAKawasaki Frontale2-2
  • LAV-varen Nagasaki1-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Yokohama F. MarinosrecordKyoto Sanga
5
3
0 draws

Goals

16-12

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

88%

3+ goals

Yokohama F. Marinos

Recent
WLLWLW
Wins 5Goals 16-12

Biggest win 3-0

Kyoto Sanga

Recent
LWWLWL
Wins 3Goals 12-16

Biggest win 3-0

  • Kyoto Sanga0-3Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos0-3Kyoto Sanga
  • Yokohama F. Marinos1-2Kyoto Sanga
  • Kyoto Sanga2-3Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Kyoto Sanga3-1Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos4-1Kyoto Sanga
  • Kyoto Sanga1-2Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos2-0Kyoto Sanga

Managers

P. Kisnorbo

Australia · 44

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Melbourne Victory2024–2024
  • A-Leagues All Stars2024–2024
  • Troyes2022–2023
  • Melbourne City2020–2022

Gwi-Jae Jo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.