Where the market is wrong on Mito Hollyhock v Kashima
Mito Hollyhock meet Kashima in the J1 League regular season - 5 at Best Denki Stadium, Mito.
Kashima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1400. Recent form leans Kashima, 83% against 33%. Attacking output favors Kashima on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Mito Hollyhock arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Machida Zelvia, L 0-2 v Kyoto Sangyo University, W 3-1 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 1-1 v Gamba Osaka.
Kashima are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Tokyo Verdy, W 3-0 v Suzuka Unlimited, W 3-2 v Avispa Fukuoka, W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus.
Kashima hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kashima 3-0 Mito Hollyhock.
The market prices MIT at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Kashima: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
