Where the market is wrong on Thespakusatsu Gunma v Fukushima United
Thespakusatsu Gunma meet Fukushima United in the J3 League regular season - 5 at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Fukushima United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Thespakusatsu Gunma arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Fukushima United, L 1-2 v Albirex Niigata, W 2-1 @ Parceiro Nagano, L 1-4 @ Tokyo Verdy.
Fukushima United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Thespakusatsu Gunma, D 2-2 v Nara Club, L 0-1 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, L 1-2 @ Gainare Tottori.
Thespakusatsu Gunma hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-3 Fukushima United.
The market prices THE at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Fukushima United: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
