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J3 League · Regular Season - 4 · Japan

FC Ryukyu v Sagamihara

2-1Full time· Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Ryukyu v Sagamihara: the model read

FC Ryukyu meet Sagamihara in the J3 League regular season - 4 at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa.

Sagamihara rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Sagamihara, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sagamihara on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

FC Ryukyu arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sagamihara, D 2-2 @ Osaka, L 0-1 @ Renofa Yamaguchi, W 5-4 v Urawa.

Sagamihara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FC Ryukyu, W 2-1 v Kanazawa, W 4-1 @ Thespakusatsu Gunma, D 0-0 v Roasso Kumamoto.

FC Ryukyu hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Ryukyu 2-1 Sagamihara.

The market prices FC at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Sagamihara: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Ryukyu

DWLDW5-7-8

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • WHSagamihara2-1
  • DAOsaka2-2
  • LARenofa Yamaguchi0-1
  • WHUrawa5-4
  • DAFukushima United1-1

Sagamihara

WDWWL9-6-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • LAFC Ryukyu1-2
  • WHKanazawa2-1
  • WAThespakusatsu Gunma4-1
  • DHRoasso Kumamoto0-0
  • WHRoasso Kumamoto3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FC RyukyurecordSagamihara
5
3
2 draws

Goals

17-13

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

FC Ryukyu

Recent
WLWWDL
Wins 5Goals 17-13

Biggest win 5-1

Sagamihara

Recent
LWLLDW
Wins 3Goals 13-17

Biggest win 4-0

  • FC Ryukyu2-1Sagamihara
  • Sagamihara4-1FC Ryukyu
  • FC Ryukyu2-0Sagamihara
  • FC Ryukyu2-1Sagamihara
  • Sagamihara0-0FC Ryukyu
  • FC Ryukyu0-4Sagamihara
  • Sagamihara0-0FC Ryukyu
  • FC Ryukyu0-1Sagamihara
  • Sagamihara1-5FC Ryukyu
  • FC Ryukyu5-1Sagamihara

Managers

T. Hirakawa

Japan · 46

In charge since 2025

Yuki Stalph

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.