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J3 League · Regular Season - 4 · Japan

Kitakyushu v Matsumoto Yamaga

1-1Full time· Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu

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Kitakyushu v Matsumoto Yamaga: the model read

Kitakyushu meet Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League regular season - 4 at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Matsumoto Yamaga, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Matsumoto Yamaga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.

Kitakyushu arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Iwaki, D 1-1 v Matsumoto Yamaga, D 2-2 @ Tochigi SC, L 1-2 v Okinawa SV.

Matsumoto Yamaga are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Kitakyushu, D 2-2 v Ehime FC, L 2-3 v Biwako Shiga, D 0-0 @ Kochi United.

Matsumoto Yamaga hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kitakyushu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kitakyushu

DLDDW5-6-9

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHIwaki1-0
  • DHMatsumoto Yamaga1-1
  • DATochigi SC2-2
  • LHOkinawa SV1-2
  • DHKamatamare Sanuki0-0

Matsumoto Yamaga

WDLDD6-9-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DAKitakyushu1-1
  • DHEhime FC2-2
  • LHBiwako Shiga2-3
  • DAKochi United0-0
  • WHVentforet Kofu3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

KitakyushurecordMatsumoto Yamaga
0
6
4 draws

Goals

7-14

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Kitakyushu

Recent
DLLDDL
Wins 0Goals 7-14

Matsumoto Yamaga

Recent
DWWDDW
Wins 6Goals 14-7

Biggest win 4-2

  • Kitakyushu1-1Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga2-1Kitakyushu
  • Kitakyushu1-2Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Kitakyushu0-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga1-1Kitakyushu
  • Matsumoto Yamaga1-0Kitakyushu
  • Kitakyushu2-4Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Kitakyushu0-1Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga0-0Kitakyushu
  • Matsumoto Yamaga2-1Kitakyushu

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.