Where the market is wrong on Fukushima United v Nara Club
Fukushima United meet Nara Club in the J3 League regular season - 4 at Toho, Fukushima.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fukushima United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Fukushima United arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nara Club, L 0-1 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, L 1-2 @ Gainare Tottori, W 7-0 v Oyama.
Nara Club are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Fukushima United, W 3-1 v Renofa Yamaguchi, L 1-4 v Osaka, L 1-3 v Kagoshima United.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fukushima United 2-2 Nara Club.
The market prices FUK at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Nara Club: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
