Where the market is wrong on Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Kiryat Shmona meet Maccabi Haifa in the Ligat Ha'al regular season - 4 at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Haifa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Maccabi Haifa, L 2-4 @ Hapoel Katamon, W 2-0 v Ironi Tiberias, L 1-2 @ Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Maccabi Haifa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Ironi Kiryat Shmona, W 2-1 v Hapoel Petah Tikva, L 1-3 @ Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 2-1 v Hapoel Ramat Gan.
The market prices IRO at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Ironi Kiryat Shmona: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
