Where the market is wrong on FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano meet FC ST. Gallen in the Super League regular season - 4 at AIL Arena, Lugano.
FC Lugano rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1592. Recent form leans FC Lugano, 80% against 60%. Attacking output favors FC Lugano on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.0 per match.
FC Lugano arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ FC Sion, D 1-1 @ Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 2-1 v Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 10-1 @ Vedeggio.
FC ST. Gallen are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Grasshoppers, L 3-4 v FC Thun, L 2-3 v FC Nordsjaelland, L 0-1 @ FC Nordsjaelland.
FC ST. Gallen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Lugano 1-2 FC ST. Gallen.
The market prices FC at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Lugano: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
