Where the market is wrong on Maccabi Kiryat Gat v Kafr Qasim
Maccabi Kiryat Gat meet Kafr Qasim in the Liga Leumit regular season - 7.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1629 to 1408. Recent form leans Maccabi Kiryat Gat, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Kiryat Gat on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hapoel Ra'anana, L 0-2 @ Hapoel Kfar Saba, D 1-1 v Maccabi Herzliya, D 1-1 @ Ironi Modi'in.
Kafr Qasim are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Hapoel Kfar Saba, L 0-1 @ Maccabi Herzliya, D 0-0 v Ironi Modi'in, L 1-2 @ Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
Kafr Qasim hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr Qasim.
The market prices MAC at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Maccabi Kiryat Gat: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
