Where the market is wrong on Maccabi Herzliya v Hapoel Ra'anana
Maccabi Herzliya meet Hapoel Ra'anana in the Liga Leumit regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Herzliya on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Hapoel Ra'anana at 53%; double chance reads Maccabi Herzliya or draw 64%, Hapoel Ra'anana or draw 68%.
Maccabi Herzliya arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Hapoel Ra'anana, W 2-0 @ Ironi Modi'in, D 1-1 @ Bnei Yehuda, D 1-1 v Hapoel Kfar Saba.
Hapoel Ra'anana are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Maccabi Herzliya, W 2-0 v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, W 2-0 v Ironi Modi'in, D 2-2 v Kafr Qasim.
Hapoel Ra'anana hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maccabi Herzliya 2-3 Hapoel Ra'anana.
The market prices MAC at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Hapoel Ra'anana: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
