Where the market is wrong on SC Kriens v Étoile Carouge
SC Kriens meet Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League regular season - 9 at Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SC Kriens, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors SC Kriens on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
SC Kriens arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ FC Aarau, L 0-2 v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, D 1-1 @ Rapperswil, W 3-0 v Stade Nyonnais.
Étoile Carouge are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v FC Winterthur, D 1-1 v FC WIL 1900, L 0-3 @ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, W 2-1 v Rapperswil.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: SC Kriens 1-3 Étoile Carouge.
The market prices SC at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on SC Kriens: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
