Where the market is wrong on FC WIL 1900 v FC Aarau
FC WIL 1900 meet FC Aarau in the Challenge League regular season - 6 at Lidl Arena, Wil.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors FC WIL 1900 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
FC WIL 1900 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Aarau, D 1-1 @ Yverdon Sport, L 0-2 v SC Kriens, W 6-2 @ Rebstein.
FC Aarau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ FC WIL 1900, W 2-1 v Neuchatel Xamax FC, L 1-2 @ Yverdon Sport, D 3-3 @ Biel-Bienne.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Aarau.
The market prices FC at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on FC WIL 1900: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
