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Cork City v Cardiff

1-6Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cork City v Cardiff: the model read

Cork City meet Cardiff in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Cardiff the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% COR, 27% draw, 38% CAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 65%. Attacking output favors Cardiff on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Cardiff at 52%; double chance reads Cork City or draw 62%, Cardiff or draw 65%.

Cork City arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 8 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ UCD, L 1-4 @ Shamrock Rovers, L 1-6 v Cardiff, L 3-4 v Longford Town.

Cardiff are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 20 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Forest Green, W 6-1 @ Cork City, L 0-6 v FC Midtjylland, L 4-5 @ Mansfield Town.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cork City

WLLLL12-2-6

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • LAUCD2-5
  • LAShamrock Rovers1-4
  • LHCardiff1-6
  • LHLongford Town3-4
  • WACobh Ramblers1-0

Cardiff

WLLWW11-4-5

Scored 2.45 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WAForest Green5-1
  • WACork City6-1
  • LHFC Midtjylland0-6
  • LAMansfield Town4-5
  • WHNorthampton5-1

Managers

G. Nash

Republic of Ireland · 39

In charge since 2025 · 2 clubs managed

  • Aston Villa U182022–2024

B. Barry-Murphy

Republic of Ireland · 47

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Manchester City U212021–2024
  • Manchester City U192021–2024
  • Rochdale2019–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.