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De Graafschap v AEK Athens FC

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Match analysisPre-match brief

De Graafschap v AEK Athens FC: the model read

De Graafschap meet AEK Athens FC in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes AEK Athens FC the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 27% DE , 27% draw, 47% AEK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AEK Athens FC, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans AEK Athens FC at 63%; double chance reads De Graafschap or draw 53%, AEK Athens FC or draw 73%.

De Graafschap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 12 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Kifisia, L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen.

AEK Athens FC are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Samsunspor, W 3-2 @ PEC Zwolle, W 2-1 @ Groningen, D 0-0 @ Vitesse.

AEK Athens FC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 1-2 AEK Athens FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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De Graafschap

WLLLW8-4-7

Scored 2.11 · Conceded 2.16 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 78.9%

  • WHKifisia4-2
  • LHTelstar3-6
  • LHAEK Athens FC1-2
  • LAHeerenveen2-7
  • WAUtrecht2-1

AEK Athens FC

WDWWL11-6-3

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LHSamsunspor1-2
  • WAPEC Zwolle3-2
  • WAGroningen2-1
  • DAVitesse0-0
  • WADe Graafschap2-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

De GraafschaprecordAEK Athens FC
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-2

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

De Graafschap

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-2

AEK Athens FC

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

  • De Graafschap1-2AEK Athens FC

Managers

M. Dijkhuizen

Netherlands · 53

In charge since 2025 · 8 clubs managed

  • Excelsior2020–2024
  • Utrecht2018–2018
  • Cambuur2017–2017
  • NAC Breda2015–2016
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.