Dordrecht v Excelsior: the model read
Dordrecht meet Excelsior in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Excelsior the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 31% DOR, 28% draw, 41% EXC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior at 57%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 59%, Excelsior or draw 69%.
Dordrecht arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Al Khaleej Saihat, W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior.
Excelsior are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Heracles, W 3-1 @ NAC Breda, W 2-0 @ Dordrecht, W 3-2 v Cambuur.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
