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Motor Lublin v Polonia Warszawa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Motor Lublin v Polonia Warszawa: the model read

Motor Lublin meet Polonia Warszawa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Motor Lublin the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% MOT, 29% draw, 29% POL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Motor Lublin, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Motor Lublin on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Motor Lublin at 59%; double chance reads Motor Lublin or draw 71%, Polonia Warszawa or draw 58%.

Motor Lublin arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Widzew Łódź, W 2-0 v Hapoel Katamon, W 2-1 v Polonia Warszawa, W 4-1 v Warta Poznań.

Polonia Warszawa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Puszcza Niepołomice, W 3-2 v Zawisza Bydgoszcz, L 0-2 v Zlin, L 1-2 @ Motor Lublin.

Motor Lublin hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motor Lublin 2-1 Polonia Warszawa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Motor Lublin

WWWWD9-5-6

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DAWidzew Łódź2-2
  • WHHapoel Katamon2-0
  • WHPolonia Warszawa2-1
  • WHWarta Poznań4-1
  • WHDinamo Bucuresti3-1

Polonia Warszawa

WLLWW8-1-11

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • WAPuszcza Niepołomice1-0
  • WHZawisza Bydgoszcz3-2
  • LHZlin0-2
  • LAMotor Lublin1-2
  • WAPelikan Łowicz1-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Motor LublinrecordPolonia Warszawa
3
1
2 draws

Goals

8-6

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Motor Lublin

Recent
WDWWDL
Wins 3Goals 8-6

Biggest win 2-1

Polonia Warszawa

Recent
LDLLDW
Wins 1Goals 6-8

Biggest win 1-0

  • Motor Lublin2-1Polonia Warszawa
  • Motor Lublin1-1Polonia Warszawa
  • Motor Lublin3-2Polonia Warszawa
  • Polonia Warszawa0-1Motor Lublin
  • Polonia Warszawa1-1Motor Lublin
  • Motor Lublin0-1Polonia Warszawa

Managers

S. Szpyrka

Poland · 34

In charge since 2022

M. Pawlak

Poland · 53

In charge since 2024 · 8 clubs managed

  • Olimpia Grudziądz2023–2024
  • Wisła Puławy2019–2023
  • Olimpia Grudziądz2018–2019
  • Bełchatów2017–2018

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.