Kelty Hearts v Dunfermline: the model read
Kelty Hearts meet Dunfermline in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Dunfermline the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 24% KEL, 30% draw, 46% DUN.
Dunfermline rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1407. Recent form leans Dunfermline, 57% against 37%. Attacking output favors Dunfermline on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Dunfermline at 66%; double chance reads Kelty Hearts or draw 54%, Dunfermline or draw 76%.
Kelty Hearts arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Aberdeen, W 3-2 v Brora Rangers, L 0-2 v Queen's Park, D 1-1 @ Queen of the South.
Dunfermline are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ ST Mirren, W 5-0 v Cove Rangers, W 4-1 v Dumbarton, L 0-3 @ East Kilbride.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
