Karpaty v Yarud Mariupol': the model read
Karpaty meet Yarud Mariupol' in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Karpaty the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% KAR, 33% draw, 26% YAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Karpaty, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Karpaty on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Karpaty at 62%; double chance reads Karpaty or draw 74%, Yarud Mariupol' or draw 59%.
Karpaty arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Veres Rivne, W 4-0 v Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, D 0-0 @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, W 1-0 @ Bravo.
Yarud Mariupol' are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka, D 1-1 @ Karpaty, D 1-1 @ Veres Rivne, W 2-0 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
Karpaty hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Karpaty 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
